Strict Exogeneity
Also known as · strictly exogenous
Strict exogeneity is the time-series version of the zero-conditional-mean assumption: for all time periods — past, present, and future. It is stronger than contemporaneous exogeneity (), which only requires the current period's error to be uncorrelated with the current regressor.
When to use
Strict exogeneity fails for autoregressive models (where lagged is a regressor and obviously correlates with past errors) and in any system with feedback (central bank reacts to past inflation → today's interest rate depends on past errors of inflation). Many panel and dynamic-panel estimators (Arellano-Bond, Anderson-Hsiao) exist because strict exogeneity is implausible in those settings.