First Stage

Also known as · first-stage regression · first stage equation

In 2SLS, the first stage is the regression of the endogenous regressor XX on the instrument(s) ZZ and all exogenous controls: Xi=γ0+γ1Zi+γ2′Wi+viX_i = \gamma_0 + \gamma_1 Z_i + \boldsymbol\gamma_2' W_i + v_i. Its fitted values X^i\hat X_i are what enter the second-stage outcome equation. The first-stage F-statistic on the instruments is the standard diagnostic for relevance / weak instruments.

When to use

Always report the first stage alongside the second — readers need to see that the instruments actually move XX. A first-stage coefficient of the expected sign and magnitude is reassuring; a tiny coefficient or low F is a red flag. R: with ivreg, call summary(model, diagnostics = TRUE) to see the first-stage F.

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