Consistency
Also known as · consistent estimator
An estimator is consistent if it converges in probability to the true parameter as the sample size grows: as . Consistency is a large-sample property: a consistent estimator may be biased in finite samples, but its bias shrinks with . Contrast with unbiased: holds at every sample size, not just asymptotically.
When to use
The distinction matters because OLS under endogeneity is both biased AND inconsistent — it converges to the wrong target no matter how much data you collect. 2SLS is biased in small samples (first-stage estimation uncertainty) but consistent, so it improves with . MLE for logit / probit is similarly consistent but not unbiased. When choosing estimators, consistency is the minimum bar — without it more data is no help.